Statistical downscaling of summer temperature extremes in northern China     

范丽军  符淙斌  严中伟 《大气科学进展》2013,30(4):1085-1095

Two approaches of statistical downscaling were applied to indices of temperature extremes based on percentiles of daily maximum and minimum temperature observations at Beijing station in summer during 1960-2008. One was to downscale daily maximum and minimum temperatures by using EOF analysis and stepwise linear regression at first, then to calculate the indices of extremes; the other was to directly downscale the percentile-based indices by using seasonal large-scale temperature and geo-potential height records. The cross-validation results showed that the latter approach has a better performance than the former. Then, the latter approach was applied to 48 meteorological stations in northern China. The cross-validation results for all 48 stations showed close correlation between the percentile-based indices and the seasonal large-scale variables. Finally, future scenarios of indices of temperature extremes in northern China were projected by applying the statistical downscaling to Hadley Centre Coupled Model Version 3 (HadCM3) simulations under the Representative Concentration Pathways 4.5 (RCP 4.5) scenario of the Fifth Coupled Model Inter-comparison Project (CMIP5). The results showed that the 90th percentile of daily maximum temperatures will increase by about 1.5℃, and the 10th of daily minimum temperatures will increase by about 2℃ during the period 2011-35 relative to 1980-99.  相似文献   

Long‐term effects of revegetation on soil hydrological processes in vegetation‐stabilized desert ecosystems     

Zhongbo Yu  Haishen Lü  Yonghua Zhu  Sam Drake  Chuan Liang 《水文研究》2010,24(1):87-95

Planting of sand‐binding vegetation in the Shapotou region on the southeastern edge of the Tengger Desert began in 1956. The revegetation programme successfully stabilized formerly mobile dunes in northern China, permitting the operation of the Baotou‐Lanzhou railway. Long‐term monitoring has shown that the revegetation programme produced various ecological changes, including the formation of biological soil crusts (BSCs). To gain insight into the role of BSCs in both past ecological change and current ecological evolution at the revegetation sites, we used field measurements and HYDRUS‐1D model simulations to investigate the effects of BSCs on soil hydrological processes at revegetated sites planted in 1956 and 1964 and at an unplanted mobile dune site. The results demonstrate that the formation of BSCs has altered patterns of soil water storage, increasing the moisture content near the surface (0–5 cm) while decreasing the moisture content in deeper layers (5–120 cm). Soil evaporation at BSC sites is elevated relative to unplanted sites during periods when canopy coverage is low. Rainfall infiltration was not affected by BSCs during the very dry period that was studied (30 April to 30 September 2005); during periods with higher rainfall intensity, differences in infiltration may be expected due to runoff at BSC sites. The simulated changes in soil moisture storage and hydrological processes are consistent with ongoing plant community succession at the revegetated sites, from deep‐rooted shrubs to more shallow‐rooted herbaceous species. Copyright © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

2004年秋季南海北部浮游植物组成及其数量分布特征   总被引：5，自引：1，他引：4       下载免费PDF全文

李涛  刘胜  王桂芬  曹文熙  黄良民  林秋艳 《热带海洋学报》2010,29(2):65-73

根据2004年9月18日—10月2日南海北部航次所获得的表层浮游植物群数据, 对其组成及数量分布进行了探讨分析。该次调查鉴定浮游植物共53属152种(含变种和变型), 分别属于硅藻门35属88种、甲藻门15属60种、蓝藻门1属2种及金藻门1属1种等; 优势种中分布较广泛的有柔弱伪菱形藻Pseudo-nitzschia delicatissima、反曲原甲藻Prorocentrum sigmoides、微小原甲藻P. mininum、锥状施克里普藻Scrippsiella trochoidea和红海束毛藻Trichodesmium erythraeum等; 浮游植物细胞丰度的数量范围为(0.11—23.61)×106cells•m-3, 呈现近岸区域高于远岸区域的平面分布格局, 最大值和最小值分别出现在海南岛东北部海域的E506站和海南岛东南部海域的B3站; 浮游植物物种丰富度也是近岸的站点较高, 以靠近珠江口E708站的51种为最多。硅藻类细胞丰度范围为(0.02—8.13)×106cells•m-3, 主要分布在高盐的外海水域, 其中产二甲基磺酸丙酯(DMSP)的小环藻Cyclotella spp.在多个站点出现; 甲藻类以近岸水域居多, 细胞丰度最高达15.67×106cells•m-3(E506站), 其中数量较多的赤潮种类主要有锥状施克里普藻、反曲原甲藻、微小原甲藻、环沟藻Gyrodinium spp.等; 固氮的红海束毛藻在调查海域广泛分布, 但主要集中于东部, 以E206站最多, 高达1.8×107cells•m-3。结合水文资料和其他层次的浮游植物资料进行对比分析, 结果表明, 红海束毛藻的分布与黑潮水的入侵存在一定关系, 其分布受水团和海流的影响。  相似文献   

江西相山铀矿田深部多金属矿化成矿流体来源:流体包裹体He-Ar同位素证据   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

刘军港  李子颖  聂江涛  王健 《大地构造与成矿学》2019,43(2):271-282

江西相山铀矿田西部地区实施的铀矿科学深钻3号孔在深部–700 m发现大量铅锌银多金属矿化脉,垂向上呈"上铀下多金属"的分布特征。本文对深部多金属矿化主成矿阶段的黄铁矿、闪锌矿、方铅矿进行了流体包裹体He和Ar同位素组成测定,结果表明,相山深部多金属矿化主成矿阶段的黄铁矿、闪锌矿和方铅矿具有较一致的He、Ar同位素组成,矿物内流体包裹体的~3He含量范围为4.55×10^–14～1560×10^–14 cm^3·STP/g,~4He含量范围为1.05×10^–7～525×10^–7 cm^3·STP/g,~3 He/~4He为2.98×10^–7～4.96×10^–7,即0.21～0.35 Ra,介于地壳(0.01～0.05 Ra)和饱和大气水(1 Ra)之间,明显低于地幔的~3 He/~4He值(6～9 Ra),⁴⁰Ar浓度为0.969×10^–7～157×10^–7 cm^3·STP/g,⁴⁰Ar/³⁶Ar值为303.7～573.9,略高于饱和大气水的Ar同位素组成,结合矿石和蚀变岩石中Li元素富集特征,本文认为相山西部地区深部多金属成矿流体以地壳流体和大气降水为主,成矿流体富Li元素是He同位素明显高于地壳的原因,可能存在少量幔源流体的加入。另外,通过对比前人研究的该地区铀矿化矿石中黄铁矿He-Ar同位素组成,并结合前人对该地区幔源组分明显参与铀成矿的认识,本文认为多金属矿化和铀矿化成矿流体可能并非同一来源。  相似文献   

中更新世转型时期南海北部上层水体结构演化特征——ODP1146站浮游有孔虫稳定同位素记录     

王海粟  党皓文  翦知湣 《第四纪研究》2019,39(2):316-327

文章以南海北部ODP1146站沉积物岩芯为研究材料,利用浮游有孔虫次表层水种Pulleniatina obliquiloculata壳体的氧、碳稳定同位素,结合该站位浮游及底栖有孔虫氧碳同位素数据,分析中更新世以来南海北部上层水体结构的演化。1.2 Ma以来ODP1146站P.obliquiloculata壳体δ^18O的变化可分3个阶段:1)1.2~0.9 Ma,冰期-间冰期变化幅度较小、主导周期为41 ka斜率周期;2)0.9~0.6 Ma,冰期旋回变化幅度逐渐增强、100 ka偏心率周期开始强化;3)0.6 Ma以来,冰期旋回呈现稳定且幅度较大的100 ka周期变化。0.9 Ma以来南海北部上层海水δ^18O的冰期旋回变幅增强,可能反映东亚冬季风在0.9 Ma之后显著强化。其中,表层水体δ^18O只在冰期变幅增强,P.obliquiloculata所反映的次表层水体δ^18O的变化幅度在冰期和间冰期都显著增强。约0.9 Ma浮游和底栖有孔虫δ^18O的100 ka周期几乎同时显现;但在0.9~0.6 Ma时期P.obliquiloculata的δ^18O偏心率周期更为显著、斜率周期的强度也更高。因此,冰期旋回周期转型及幅度变化两方面的证据共同反映温跃层结构演化在南海北部中更新世转型(MPT)气候转变过程中的特殊性。1.2 Ma以来ODP1146站P.obliquiloculata的δ^13C在0.02 Ma、0.49 Ma和0.99 Ma左右呈明显的碳重值,同时表层种-次表层种之间的δ^13C差值减小到近于0,可以解读为碳重值事件期间南海北部生产力相对减弱。  相似文献   

Applicability and intercalibration of macrophyte quality indices to characterise the ecological status of Mediterranean transitional waters: the case of the Venice lagoon     

Daniele Curiel  Annalisa Falace  Vinko Bandelj  Andrea Rismondo 《Marine Ecology》2012,33(4):437-459

In the framework of the WFD 2000/60/EC intercalibration process the updated versions of the EEI and R‐MaQI, proposed by Italy and Greece for the transitional waters, have been applied to the macrophytes of the Venice lagoon to test their comparability and relationships with the pressure gradients. Submerged macrophytes were collected during spring 2007 at 60 sites spread within the lagoon. At each site, five random samples were collected and the total coverage of benthic macrophytes in the field was estimated based on a number of tests of the bottom. To assess seagrass epiphytes, five shoots were collected for each replicate. Physico‐chemical data were collected in the water column at 14 sites selected to reflect the main hydro‐geomorphological and trophic gradients of the lagoon. The analyses performed indicated that the two metrics appeared to be weakly intercalibrated and only the 30% of the sampling sites displayed the same quality class. The main differences fell into the Moderate and Low classes and the two indices provided discordant results in the intermediate and confined areas of the lagoon. In contrast, the two indices showed good affinity in the marine areas of inlets, which are characterised by seagrass meadows and late‐successional macroalgae. Similar results were evidenced also in a redundancy analysis by the different relationships between quality classes and the physico‐chemical gradients. The main reason for this seems to be the heterogeneity of species–environment relationships inside the groups of species on which the indices are based. Critical aspects of methodological differences and applicability of the macrophyte indices proposed by Italy and Greece for the transitional waters of the Mediterranean eco‐region are discussed.  相似文献   

陕北典型地区乡村聚落水蚀泥沙规律的初步研究   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

岳大鹏  甘枝茂 《地域研究与开发》2008,27(3):88-93

通过定位观测资料的分析,发现陕北多沙粗沙区乡村聚落的平均年侵蚀强度达5434.3t/km2,户间道路、户间空地、庭院的平均侵蚀强度分别达7348t/km2.6873.2 t/km2,2081.7t/km2.除庭院属轻度级侵蚀外,其它已达强度级侵蚀.同时延安的户间道路(14190.8t/km2),榆林的户间空地(13547.4t/km2),已达极强度侵蚀.应加强研究和防治.水蚀泥沙的粒度以0.01～0.05 mm的粗粉沙和0.001～0.005 mm的粘粒为主,分别占到43.98%和19.81%,≥0.05mm的粗泥沙含量明显小于聚落以外的坡面,而且区域变化比较明显,从南到北,细粒成分愈来愈少,粗粒成分越来越多;与土壤粒度相比,粗泥沙水蚀系数在庭院、户间道路、户间空地分别达到0.54,0.55,0.75,平均为0.61.  相似文献   

新疆天山北坡经济带土地利用时空变化特征研究   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

满苏尔·沙比提  迪里木拉提·玉苏甫 《地域研究与开发》2008,27(2):103-108

基于GIS平台,以新疆各县市统计资料及Landsat TM 影像解译得到的三期土地利用数据为基础,对天山北坡经济带1996-2004年土地利用数量、类型及其变化进行了分析.结果得出,前后2个4年间,天山北坡经济带林地和未利用土地是先增加后减少.在8年尺度上土地利用总的动态特征是,耕地、园地、林地、水域、建设用地及未利用土地面积增加,草地面积减少.8年尺度天山北坡经济带综合土地利用动态度为12.95%.前4年综合土地利用动态度为12.83%,园地、水域及未利用土地的年变化率较大,林地的年变化率较小.后4年天山北坡经济带综合土地利用动态度为1.58%,建设用地与园地的年变化率较大,草地及耕地的变化率较小,前4年变化程度比后4年明显.最后,引入单一土地利用类型相对变化率反映出天山北坡经济带土地利用变化存在明显的区域差异.政策变动、经济发展、城市化水平、市场需求和人口增长是天山北坡经济带土地利用变化的主要原因.  相似文献   

江西相山铀矿田邹—石断裂新解   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

张万良 《火山地质与矿产》2014,(1):46-52

邹—石断裂分布在江西相山铀矿田西部,前人认为是一条重要的成矿构造.本次研究发现矿体并不产于邹—石断裂本身,断裂没有控制矿体几何形态,不是矿质直接充填或交代的地质构造单元,不具成矿构造的特点.由于邹石断裂在地形上呈现线性沟谷,遥感影像图上呈现清晰的线性影像,切错了花岗斑岩.构造岩主要是围岩的破碎角砾、构造透镜体和断层泥,以脆性变形为主,温热水与之关系密切,故认为,邹—石断裂具有新构造活动的踪迹,可能形成于新近纪—第四纪,属矿后构造.  相似文献   

Accumulation and exploration of gas hydrate in deep-sea sediments of northern South China Sea     

张光学  陈芳  杨胜雄  苏新  沙志彬  王宏斌  梁金强  周洋 《中国海洋湖沼学报》2012,30(5):876-888

The large deep-sea area from the southwestern Qiongdongnan Basin to the eastern Dongsha Islands,within the continental margin of northern South China Sea,is a frontier of natural gas hydrate exploration in China.Multiform of deep-sea sedimentations have been occurred since late Miocene,and sediment waves as a potential quality reservoir of natural gas hydrate is an most important style of them.Based on abundant available data of seismic,gravity sampling and drilling core,we analyzed the characteristics of seismic reflection and sedimentation of sediment waves and the occurrence of natural gas hydrate hosted in it,and discussed the control factors on natural gas hydrate accumulation.The former findings revealed the deep sea of the northern South China Sea have superior geological conditions on natural gas hydrate accumulation.Therefore,it will be of great significance in deep-sea natural gas hydrate exploration with the study on the relationship between deep-sea sedimentation and natural gas hydrate accumulation.  相似文献